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SP500 update: Rare pattern sends cautionary signal as breadth fails to confirm rally
A rare technical setup on the S&P500 (SPX), combined with weakening market internals and our Elliott...
United States: Weak payrolls and softer retail sales – TD Securities
TD Securities notes July payrolls surprised sharply to the downside, with headline jobs dragged by g...
WTI jumps over 6% as Strait of Hormuz reopening remains uncertain
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) jumps more than 6% on Monday, erasing last week’s losses as uncertaint...
Brent: Extended Hormuz closure and $200/bbl stress case – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts examine a low‑probability but severe scenario where the Strait of Hormuz stays shut through 2026, forcing Brent toward and potentially above $200/bbl to trigger sufficient de ...
Euro slips as Hormuz firefight revives US Dollar demand
The Euro loses ground during the North American session amid rising tensions in the Middle East, as the US and Iran exchanged fire near the Strait of Hormuz, while negotiations continued. At the time ...
US Dollar: Supported by higher-for-longer Fed stance – TD Securities
TD Securities’ US Economic Outlook suggests a higher-for-longer Federal Reserve stance that is typically supportive for the US Dollar. The bank sees stagflationary risks from the Iran conflict, elevat ...
Canadian Dollar gains support from rising Oil prices as USD/CAD trims intraday gains
USD/CAD reverses earlier intraday gains on Tuesday, with the Canadian Dollar (CAD) drawing support from rising Oil prices and offsetting broader US Dollar (USD) strength. At the time of writing, the p ...
Japanese Yen: Stablisation seen as BoJ tightens gradually – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas expects Japan’s GDP growth to slow to 0.5% in 2026 from 1.1% in 2025 as higher inflation and production costs weigh on activity. The Bank of Japan is projected to continue normalising poli ...
Canadian Dollar: Range signals possible reversal against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank analysts Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note that the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is steady against the US Dollar (USD) near 1.3800, with fair value for USD/CAD estimated at 1.3672. They highligh ...
RBNZ: July hike risk watched as inflation lingers – MUFG
MUFG's strategists flag the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) as a key event risk, with markets expecting no move this week but assigning a meaningful probability to a July rate hike.
United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index increased to 0.4 in May from previous -2.3
United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index increased to 0.4 in May from previous -2.3
Euro: Rangebound against US Dollar despite ECB repricing – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kit Juckes notes that the Euro (EUR) has shown limited reaction to comments from Isabel Schnabel about a June European Central Bank (ECB) rate hike, even as markets price in more ti ...
US Dollar: Positioning turns negative as Fed debate builds – Rabobank
Rabobank strategists Jane Foley and Molly Schwartz note that speculative US Dollar (USD) positioning has slipped into net short territory for the first time since early March, after safe-haven flows l ...
Fed: Hawkish bias and extended hold – TD Securities
TD Securities economists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir expect the Fed to drop its easing bias in June and keep rates on hold through 2026, citing hawkish FOMC momentum, firm inflation and a stabilized labor ...
US CB Consumer Confidence Index eases to 93.1 in May
US consumer sentiment loses some momentum in May, as the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index recedes to 93.1 from April’s 93.8 (revised from 92.8).